HOW TO THINK CRITICALLY
adapted from:
http://rogerdarlington.co.uk/index.html
- All information is suspect (including anything you learn in this
class, at home, church, school). Trust no one but yourself, yet only after
due consideration that you may be wrong.*
- Recognize that thinking critically does not mean simple
criticism. It means not simply accepting information at face value in a
non-critical or non-evaluating way.
- The essence of critical thinking centers not on answering questions but
on questioning answers, so it involves questioning, probing, analyzing,
evaluating. In his novel "Sophie's World", the Danish writer Jostein Gaarder
notes that: "The most subversive people are those who ask questions".
- Check the source. Who wrote the article or scripted the programme?
How knowledgeable is the source? Does the source have a particular interest or
'angle' or prejudice? Is the source known to you by reputation or previous
work? In the case of a Web site in particular, it may be difficult to
establish the source.
- Use different sources. If there is a dispute over the ecological
impact of oil exploration, check out the views of the 'green' pressure group
and the oil company and other, more independent, sources such as scientists
and commentators. If there is a government statement on health expenditure,
check out the views of health authorities, doctors and nurses, and independent
commentators.
- Always prefer prime sources. A personal, eyewitness account is to
be preferred to the statement from the politician who was told by a journalist
who read it on a news wire which obtained it from a company spokesman who was
briefed by a senior manager on the basis of an eyewitness report from a
colleague. A newspaper quote from a report may be accurate but, when you
obtain and study the report itself, you might find that the quote was
selective or unrepresentative of the work as a whole.
- Check the date. Generally speaking, the more recent the material,
the more accurate it is likely to be and the more useful it is. This is
especially the case in changing situations. For instance, something about
Russia written after the fall of communism may well have been able to use
sources not available in previous decades. In a war situation, even a few days
or hours may make a significant difference to the information and perspective
available. On the Web, material is frequently undated and one needs to be
aware that it could be outdated.
- Check the publisher or promoter or funder. Many newspapers,
magazines and television stations have a definite political orientation and
can be expected to push a particular 'line' or interpretation. A Government
source may be regarded as particularly authoritative or dangerously partial,
depending on the circumstances. A report on the effect of smoking on cancer
rates might be regarded with some caution if the underlying research is found
to be funded by tobacco companies.
- Remember that prominence does not equate to importance. A newspaper
may have made its lead story the rumour of a break-up between Britney Spears
and her latest boyfriend, but that does not necessarily make it the most
important news item that day. Conversely, in 1914 that tiny story about the
assassination of an obscure nobleman in some backwater called Sarajevo proved
to have rather more repercussions that most readers first appreciated. Try an
experiment: one day, buy five or six national newspapers, compare their
coverage of the same stories on the same day, and note the different
prominence - and the different slant - given to the same stories.
- Make temporal comparisons. If a company announces that it has
increased revenues by 25% in the last three years, look at the rate of growth
in revenues in the three previous years.
- Make geographical comparisons. If the government claims that it is
now spending 10% of Gross Domestic Product on the health service, compare that
with the percentage expenditure in other industrialized countries.
- Always look for evidence. The Scottish philosopher David Hume
noted that "A wise man proportions his belief to the evidence". Many
Americans believe that the attack on the World Trade Center was engineered by
Saddam Hussein, while many Arabs believe that it was planned by the Israeli
secret service. They can't both be right, but they could both be wrong. What
is the evidence? Millions of Americans believe that they have been abducted by
aliens and subjected to sexual experiments. They may be right, but again what
is the evidence? Are there witnesses or photographs? Are there body marks on
the 'victims' or do they have souvenirs from the spaceships?
- Always consider alternative explanations. Those who believe that
they have been abducted by aliens might have dreamt or fantasized it. The
report of a body found in the park could mean a murder or a suicide or a heart
attack or old age. The fall in crime levels could be the result of more
police, better detection procedures, social changes or simply new methods of
reporting.
- Beware of making assumptions. Someone once said that: "Never
assume, as assume makes an ass out of u and me". So, just because a
particular source is usually accurate doesn't necessarily make it accurate
this time. Just because the facts can be explained by one particular scenario
doesn't mean than another scenario isn't possible and maybe even more likely.
- Don't jump to conclusions. Although the currently available facts
may suggest a particular conclusion, other conclusions may be possible.
Further facts may support an alternative conclusion and even invalidate the
original conclusion. Even when this is not the case, it is always helpful to
have further, supporting evidence to support the original conclusion.
- Remember Occam's Razor [the maxim is named after William of Occam,
the philosopher who was probably born at Ockham in Surrey]. When two or more
explanations are possible on the basis of the same facts, always prefer the
simplest possible explanations, unless there are very good reasons for
favoring a more complex - and therefore unlikely - one. Or, as scientist
Albert Einstein put it: "Everything should be made as simple as possible,
but not simpler".
- Look for cause and effect. When I go to bed, the sun comes up - but
there is obviously no causality. When I go to bed, I feel refreshed - and
there clearly is a relationship. Sometimes relationships are not obvious: in
the movie "The Truman Show", when the Jim Carey character goes to bed, the
'sun' does come up in a casual manner because the Ed Harris character ensures
that it does.
- Look for 'meaningful' statements. Often politicians and businessmen
make statements which are virtually meaningless, such as "I think that, if
we tried harder, we could possibly do somewhat better" or "Some
improvements in performance might be expected in the fullness of time".
Much more meaningful sentences - and ones therefore to be preferred - would be
something like "We will reduce recorded crimes of violence by 10% before
the next General Election" or "If we increase our capital expenditure
by 5% annually for the next three years, we should achieve a 25% increase in
revenues by the end of the decade".
- 'Translate' statistics. So, convert a percentage into an absolute
figure. A claim to have increased customers by 10% might simply mean an
increase from two to four. Conversely, a 2.5% increase in a nation's economic
growth could - in the case, for instance, of the UK or the UK - mean the
availability of billions of more pounds or dollars. Similarly, convert
absolute numbers into percentages. A politician might claim that expenditure
on the health service has increased by £500M which seems like a massive figure
to someone earning £500 a week but, when expressed as a percentage of total
expenditure on health, is seen to be proportionately a mere blip in
expenditure patterns. Again conversely, it could be that paying a relatively
small cash sum monthly into a pension scheme results in a 25% increase in
payments in 20 years time.
- Don't rest on authority. The scientist Albert Einstein once
remarked: "Foolish faith in authority is the worst enemy of truth". In
the early 1990s, I gave a presentation to a group of Russians using slides in
Russian. At one point, I realised that I had been speaking to the wrong slide
for the last five minutes. When I asked my audience why no one had told me
this, I was advised that in Communist Russia no one challenged the teacher!
Just because the management or the government states something does not
necessarily mean that it is true. This is especially the case where there is a
vested interest, so asbestos and cigarette manufacturers both claimed
authoritatively for many years that their products were not damaging to
health. Study the evidence and make an independent judgement based on the
balance of the available evidence.
- Closely related to this, don't necessarily rest on the received
wisdom. Galileo was excommunicated for challenging the Church's view that
the sun, the planets and the stars revolved around the earth - but he was
right. Today even the most fundamental rule of modern physics - Einstein's
insistence that the speed of light is a constant - is being challenged (by a
scientist called Joćo Magueijo). Many management styles and political policies
are the received wisdom for a time, but frequently deserve to be challenged.
The important thing is to marshal the evidence and subject it to review and
analysis.
- Beware of anecdotes. Two of your friends may have had a bad
experience on holiday in India which might be interesting but is unlikely to
be conclusive. India is a massive country, it has millions of visitors a year,
your friends' experiences might have been years ago or be more to do with the
travel company than the country. Check the information on India on the Foreign
Office web site and read independent travel guides and surveys before making a
more informed and balanced judgement.
- On the other hand, trust your instincts. If something doesn't
'feel' right, even if it is in a newspaper or a television programme, check it
out. Strange though it may seem, the media can make mistakes and corrections
rarely achieve the prominence of the original story.
- Deconstruct the elements of a work. In the case of a paper or
speech, look at the arguments, the evidence, the structure, and the
presentation. In the case of a novel, consider the plot, the characterisation
and the language. In the case of a film, think about the script, the acting,
the direction, the cinematography and the music.
- Think about what is not there. When invited to respond to
material, most people confine their comments or their thinking to what they
can see or hear. Sometimes what is not there is just as important. You might
want to ask: Why are certain arguments missing? Why have certain sources not
been used? Is this the full picture? A political manifesto will inevitably
mention achievements but not failures and will often criticise another party's
policy or performance but fail to offer a constructive alternative. A
company's annual report will put the most favourable possible 'gloss' on
activities and not mention at all financial difficulties or threats from
competitors. In a job application, a missing period of time could mean a
sabbatical travelling around the world or it could mean a sentence in prison.
- Learn to think 'out of the box'. Albert Einstein once said that:
"Problems cannot be solved by thinking within the framework in which they
were created". For instance, you are asked to decide whether a new product
should be trialed in Manchester, Birmingham or London. But maybe it should be
trialed in all three or in three different locations. Maybe it shouldn't be
trialed at all, but launched straightaway, because a competitor is about to
launch a similar product. Maybe it shouldn't be trialed at all because it is
still an inferior product that needs more development. Maybe the whole
discussion is irrelevant because the company is about to be taken over by
another company which already has such a product in the marketplace. For
another illustration, try this exercise
click here
- If you dare, go beyond thinking 'out of the box' to thinking the
'unthinkable'. What does this mean? It means considering variations to the
most basic of parameters and entertaining the most radical of possibilities.
In the last example - trialing a new product - thinking the unthinkable might
mean leaving the company, forming your own and marketing a rival product or it
might involve a recognition that you are disillusioned with such products
altogether and want to make a career change. Albert Einstein once said that:
"If at first an idea doesn't seem crazy, then there is no hope for it".
As Yosserian in Joseph Heller's iconic novel "Catch-22" concludes: "Of
course it's insane
That's why it's the only sane thing to do".
- Try thinking like your competitor. If you are in a competitive
situation - even if it is just a discussion or debate, but much more so if it
is a business or a sport (or a war!) - put yourself in the mind of your
competitor. If you were him or her, what would you do? If he were to think
'out of the box' or even to think the 'unthinkable', what might he do? How
would you respond to that? Should you make such a move first? Even if this
process of thought does not lead you to adopt a new strategy, it is a useful
discipline that will change the way you look at the situation and how prepared
you will be mentally for the unexpected or unlikely.
- Test your thinking on others. Brainstorm your ideas before starting
a piece of work. Show drafts of work in progress to colleagues or friends.
Welcome corrections, suggestions and constructive criticism. Entertain
challenge. Embrace change. Encourage diversity.
- Practice critical thinking. Alfred Mander asserted in his book
"Logic For The Millions": "Thinking is skilled work. It is not true that we
are naturally endowed with the ability to think clearly and logically -
without learning how or without practicing". The British philosopher
Bertrand Russell bemoaned that: "Many people would die sooner than think;
in fact, they do", while the British writer George Bernard Shaw quipped:
"Most people don't take the time to think. I made an international
reputation for myself by deciding to think twice a week".
- Keep practicing critical thinking. The British politician Barbara
Castle once said: "Think, think, think. It will hurt like hell at first,
but you'll get used to it".
- Don't worry if thinking critically initially confuses you. Life
isn't simple and the world is not black and white. As the Greek philosopher
Socrates put it: "Confusion is the beginning of wisdom".
- Finally, remember that 'thinking critically' ends in 'why?'
The word 'why?' is the most powerful tool in your mental toolbox. Keep asking
'why?' Why is this person writing this story in this particular newspaper? Why
is this politician making this statement now? Why has the author of this paper
quoted this source and not that one? Why has she used a percentage instead of
an absolute figure? Why am I asking all these questions?!?
ROGER DARLINGTON:
http://rogerdarlington.co.uk/index.html
Last modified on 4 June 2003
Exercise*
Take three of these 33 points about critical thinking and
apply them to your search on your project. You can do this by researching a
site that has information you would like to use on your topic and ask
questions about this information. Add it to your post on the blog thread in
class discussions. Be sure to list the number of the points you are employing in
this exercise.
*Added by John Elfrank-Dana and not a part of Mr. Darlington's work.